Guy Fawkes 
Roughly $2.6 billion in Bitcoin options are set to expire this Friday. This represents a significant amount of liquidity shifting hands in a single morning but is relatively contained compared to other options expiring events. However, with the weekend comes thinner liquidity.
Following Monday’s rally, the market is in a state of suspense. Ethereum remains unable to reclaim and break the $2150 resistance level, which it could have used as support. Meanwhile, Bitcoin appears stronger, holding above $70,000 for now as the weekend approaches.
So why are traders watching the Bitcoin options expiration data?
March 6 Options Expiration Data
32,000 BTC options expired with a Put-Call Ratio of 1.69, maximum pain point at $69,000, and notional value of $2.3 billion.
184,000 ETH options expired with a Put-Call Ratio of 0.85, maximum pain point at $1,950, and notional value of $380… pic.twitter.com/wIZP4KDhg2— Greeks.live (@GreeksLive) March 5, 2026
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Looking at The Bitcoin Expiring Options or The Max Pain Level?
In the options market, traders bet on whether the price of Bitcoin or Ethereum will go up (using “Call” options) or down (using “Put” options) by a certain date. The entities selling these bets are usually large institutional market makers. Like a casino, these market makers want to pay out as little as possible when the contracts expire.
Max Pain is the specific price level where the highest number of options contracts, both calls and puts, expire worthless.
If the price settles at Max Pain, the option buyers lose their premiums (the fee they paid for the contract), and the option sellers (the “house”) keep the maximum amount of profit. While the market isn’t rigged, prices often gravitate toward this level as expiry approaches because market makers hedge their positions to minimize their own risk. It works like a temporary magnet.
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Breaking Down the $2.6 Billion in Expiring Options
This week’s expiry is significant, though not the largest on record. According to data from derivatives provider Greeks.live, the total value of expiring contracts sits around $2.6 billion.
For Bitcoin, approximately 31,700 options contracts are expiring with a notional value of roughly $2.2 billion. The Max Pain Price for Bitcoin is currently sitting at $69,000.
The Put/Call ratio for this batch is 1.7. This ratio measures market sentiment; a number higher than 1.0 means there are more bets on the price dropping (puts) than rising (calls). A ratio of 1.7 suggests that bears were aggressive leading up to this Friday, or that many traders bought insurance against a crash.
For Ethereum, the numbers tell a different story. About 184,000 contracts are expiring with a value of $380 million. The Max Pain point is significantly lower at $1,950, with a Put/Call ratio of 0.85, indicating slightly more bullish sentiment compared to Bitcoin.
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Why This Weekend Could Be Volatile for BTC and ETH
The answer lies in “hedging.” Market makers (the unexpected whales providing liquidity) don’t just take bets and hope for the best. As the price moves, they actively buy or sell the underlying asset (Bitcoin or Ethereum) to balance their books. This process involves managing “Gamma” (the rate of change in an option’s sensitivity to price moves).
When the spot price is far away from the Max Pain price, market makers may have to buy or sell aggressively to neutralize their risk. This can create sudden, strong moves in the minutes leading up to the 8:00 AM UTC expiry cutoff.
However, once the expiry moment passes, this pressure is released. This is often why you see markets trade sideways all week, pinned near Max Pain, and then suddenly break out or break down once the contracts settle.
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The post $2.6B Bitcoin Options Expiry: Another Crypto Max Pain? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
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