Tesla gets another new price target as recent events ‘remove large overhang’

Max Headroom 2025.09.28 3 min read

Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) got another new price target this week after one firm said that recent events “have removed a large overhang on the stock.”

This year, Tesla has had an up-and-down performance on Wall Street, but gains over the past month have overshadowed much of the skepticism and pressure on the stock.

However, over the past 30 days, a lot of good things have happened: Tesla has shown it has a lot of demand for its vehicles, which will likely translate to good delivery figures, it figured out a compensation plan for CEO Elon Musk, and the company’s clear focus on Robotaxi and Optimus puts it in a good position for the future as the focus comes off of quarterly deliveries.

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Deutsche Bank recognized these potential catalysts and wrote in a note to investors:

“Ahead of 3Q25 deliveries next week, we raise our near-term estimates given stronger volume in the quarter, but keep our full-year and 2026 outlook mostly unchanged. We think Elon Musk’s clear focus on Tesla’s most important efforts (Robotaxi and Optimus) and the recent compensation package have removed a large overhang on the stock going forward, will allow Tesla to benefit from being a leader in embodied AI.”

These points specifically pushed Deutsche Bank’s reasoning for pushing its price target to $435 from $345.

In terms of quarterly deliveries, the firm expects Tesla to report 461,500 for the quarter. “We expect +20% growth in China and N. America, with some decline in Europe as competition and branding continue to weigh in on demand,” Deutsche Bank said.

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Overall, IR-compiled consensus estimates put deliveries at 443,100:

$TSLA IR-compiled 3Q consensus deliveries for next week is 443.1K -4.3% YoY and +15.4% QoQ. Our 3Q estimate remains 470K so we are still looking for a material beat when TSLA reports 3Q deliveries and production on 10/2. The FY’2025 consensus is 1,603.2K so -10.4% YoY. pic.twitter.com/yuFh9Igvb9

— Gary Black (@garyblack00) September 26, 2025

Tesla received other price target boosts this week, including one from Wedbush’s Dan Ives, who bumped his outlook on the stock from $500 to a Street-high $600.

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