Guy Fawkes 
How do you plan to thank Mr. Trump two years from now for this generational Bitcoin price dip when BTC is $400,000 and Ethereum is $25,000 a coin?
Crypto Twitter is praying for this in February but analyst Benjamin Cohen says they’re wrong.
Bitcoin has a date with destiny coming up https://t.co/na57Lvcfoo pic.twitter.com/W6eADt7hiZ
— Benjamin Cowen (@intocryptoverse) February 1, 2026
He believes liquidity is drying up and there aren’t enough dollars in the system to back all these high valuations we see in stocks, gold, crypto and housing.
We unironically need more dollars printed. Here’s when the dip is coming, according to 99Bitcoins analysts and Cowen:
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Timing The Bitcoin Price: Why Is The Entire World Rugging?
Benjamin Cowen’s core point isn’t that he can date the exact bottom; it’s that Bitcoin’s biggest cycle turns have tended to rhyme: a post-peak bleed, a string of lower highs, then a final washout that resets risk appetite.
The upshot is that there are too many scams, altcoin rug pulls, and useless projects in crypto; we need a new structure to build from.
In his framework, the market’s already behaving like a bear cycle that topped without retail euphoria, which can stretch the timeline and make rallies feel convincing right before we head to $50-$60,000.
Here’s the clean takeaway for anyone asking, “When do we buy the BTC dip?”: you’re hunting for capitulation zones and confirmation levels, not vibes.
Benjamin Cowen (Into The Cryptoverse): “The most likely outcome is for Bitcoin to…go to at least the 200-week moving average More likely than not October is when I think the low could be…that’s when I would be a buyer.”
Cowen also mentioned that by late spring and early summer, he’s willing to revisit that thesis.
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The Buy Zone Map: What Matters Before You Swing
Cowen’s “buy window” logic basically splits into two buckets:
- Tactical dip buys (higher risk): a sweep of prior lows followed by a relief rally into resistance (often the 200-day area), which can become a macro lower high and another sell opportunity.
- Structural buys (lower risk): late-summer to Q4-type conditions, when fear is loud, volatility is high, and price is testing long-duration cost-basis levels.
Personally speaking, if I’m buying, I want it to feel uncomfortable, not like a “sale” banner at the mall. That usually means price probing those deep cost-basis bands while leverage and confidence get rinsed.
Glassnode describes a “fragile” structure with rallies vulnerable to distribution and overhead supply, not a clean trend regime.
Additionally, we’re seeing macro pressure like the DXY strengthening and real yields acting sticky. Bitcoin’s “dip” can keep dipping. When the dollar rolls over and liquidity expands, dips get bought harder.
For tracking this, many traders watch trade-weighted USD indexes and policy expectations via FRED’s dollar and rates series.
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A Simple Decision Framework: When the Dip Becomes a Buy. What the Market Is Telling You Right Now
If you want a rules-based approach instead of doomscrolling:
- Aggressive entry idea: scale in near major cost-basis support zones (think “true mean” territory) only if selling looks exhausted.
- Conservative entry idea: wait for a durable shift, like weekly strength reclaiming major moving-average levels (Cowen uses the 50-week logic as a regime filter).
- Invalidation to respect: if Bitcoin reclaims key trend levels on weekly closes and holds, the “midterm bear” thesis weakens; best buys might be now.
The safest option, of course, is to dollar cost these dips instead of timing the bottom. Buy small amounts and you can’t lose if we reach new ATHs by year’s end.
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Key Takeaways
- There are too many scams, altcoin rug pulls, and useless projects in crypto; we need a new structure to build from.
- Bitcoin’s “dip” can keep dipping. When the dollar rolls over and liquidity expands, dips get bought harder.
The post Bitcoin USD Crash: Buy the Dip Now or Wait for It to Go Lower? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
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