Powell Speech Today: Bitcoin Braces for Volatility as Fed Signals Divide

What’s going on with Powell Speech Today? As the dust settles from FOMC, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech today at the Greater Providence Chamber of Commerce has become the defining market catalyst of the week.

Scheduled for 12:35 p.m. ET, Powell’s remarks come just six days after the Fed’s first rate cut of 2025 and at a moment when global markets, from U.S. Treasuries to Bitcoin prices, are searching for clarity amid widespread expectations of sustained rate cut decisions in 2025.

(Source – PolyMarkets)

Powell Speech Today: Powell’s Post-FOMC Tightrope Explained

The Fed’s policy rate currently sits at 4.00%–4.25% after last week’s 25 bps cut. That move, framed as a “risk management” adjustment, has divided investors on what comes next.

Powell must navigate the Fed’s dual mandate with conflicting signals: inflation remains stubbornly above target in several core metrics, while job growth shows signs of fatigue.

Some policymakers, including St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem, warn against moving too quickly on easing. Others argue that weakening employment data justifies more cuts.

No doubt, pundits at Polymarkets will be following Powell’s tone closely today, as it will decide whether the market leans toward cautious patience or accelerated loosening after the rate cut.

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Bitcoin Price in the Crosshairs: Will Jerome Powell Trigger BTC USD Reversal?

Crypto markets are already on edge. Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $363M in net outflows on September 23, led by Fidelity’s FBTC. Ether ETFs joined the exodus with $76M in withdrawals.

These flows suggest institutional investors are hedging against the possibility that Powell strikes a hawkish note.

bitcoin

Price

Market Cap

BTC

$2.26T

24h7d1y

Bitcoin price is holding above $113,000, though the market remains fragile after Monday’s $285M in long liquidations, the heaviest single-day wipeout since June.

Traders are eyeing $110,000 as key support; a dovish Powell could trigger a relief rally back toward $117,500–$118,000 resistance, while any emphasis on inflation risks could send BTC deeper into correction territory.

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Macro Context Overhangs BTC USD Price: Dollar and Bonds In Play

The broader macro backdrop adds weight to today’s remarks. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is firm near 97.40, while 10-year Treasury yields hover around 4.15% after a sharp climb.

Both reflect investor caution ahead of Powell, with higher yields and a stronger dollar typically pressuring Bitcoin and other risk assets.

Meanwhile, gold continues to make new highs as capital rotates away from crypto, a signal that traditional safe havens are winning the inflation hedge narrative, at least for now.

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What to Watch For In Powell Speech Today

Markets will parse Powell’s every phrase. If he reinforces last week’s “risk management” framing, it could mean steady but slow cuts, a scenario that keeps pressure on Bitcoin in the near term.

If instead he acknowledges economic softness and signals readiness for faster easing, BTC could benefit from a renewed risk-on bid.

Either way, the Powell speech today is a volatility event for Bitcoin. With institutional flows already flashing red, traders should expect sharp moves in both directions as the Fed chair shapes expectations for the rest of 2025.

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Powell Speech Today: Bitcoin Braces for Volatility as Fed Signals Divide

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